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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sat 31 Oct · 14:30
6th · 13 pts · +2 GD
2:4
Full time
11th · 9 pts · -1 GD
54%
Leverkusen
21%
Draw
25%
Stuttgart
Bookmakers say
56% / 21% / 23%
Where we differ most
A 2%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 79%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 79%; the bookmakers say 79%.
Both teams to score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leverkusen | 1569 | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Stuttgart | 1574 | 1.26 | 1.27 |
Stuttgart rated 5 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProLeverkusen 2-4 Stuttgart. Our model leaned Leverkusen to win (54%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Home or away won (+0.0u), Leverkusen to win lost (0.0u), O won (+0.0u), O won (+3.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Leverkusen (ELO 1522.4, 4th place) are strong favorites with 54.2% win probability and superior attack/defence ratings (1.284/1.206).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“Leverkusen are strong favourites with a 54.2% model probability for a home win, supported by superior form and table position, while BTTS Yes (64.8%) and Over 2.5 (73.8%) are also likely given both teams' attacking ratings.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Leverkusen has a strong home win probability of 0.5422 according to our model, significantly higher than Stuttgart's away win probability of 0.2464.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Leverkusen is favored with a 54.2% win probability and a much higher league position.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 79% |
“Model gives Leverkusen 54.2% vs Stuttgart 24.6% and draw 21.1%, with BTTS 64.8% and Over 2.5 at 73.8%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Model gives Leverkusen 54.2% home win and Over 2.5 at 73.8% with BTTS Yes at 64.8%, backed by superior table position (4th vs 15th) and attack ratings ~1.28.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Leverkusen has strong home form (4 wins in last 6) and higher elo ratings (1522.4 vs 1507.6), but Stuttgart's attack rating is nearly equal (1.269 vs 1.284).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“The model gives Leverkusen a 54.22% chance of winning (H: 0.5422), with both teams to score at 64.84% (Y: 0.6484) and over 2.5 goals at 73.77% (O: 0.7377), indicating a likely high-scoring home win.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Leverkusen's model 1X2 probability is 54.22% with strong home form (4 wins in last 6) and higher Elo (1522.4 vs 1507.6).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives a 64.84% chance of both teams scoring, supported by both teams' strong attack ratings (Leverkusen 1.283, Stuttgart 1.258) and moderate defences.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.