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England · League Two · Sat 31 Oct · 15:00
20th · 12 pts · -5 GD
0:1
Full time
24th · 9 pts · -8 GD
57%
Oldham
23%
Draw
20%
Crawley Town
Bookmakers say
59% / 22% / 19%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 80%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 80%; the bookmakers say 81%.
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 1426 | 0.82 | 1.31 |
| Crawley Town | 1395 | 0.86 | 1.55 |
Oldham rated 31 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProOldham 0-1 Crawley Town. Our model leaned Oldham to win (57%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Home or draw lost (0.0u), Oldham to win lost (0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Oldham to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Oldham's model probability of 57.5% home win significantly outweighs Crawley's 19.7%, supported by Oldham's superior Elo rating (1409.1 vs 1373.6) and better recent form (4-1 home win).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Oldham are strong favorites with a 57.5% win probability and a higher Elo rating (1409 vs 1374), while Crawley Town are bottom of the table.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Oldham has a strong home win probability of 0.575 according to our model, significantly higher than the draw (0.2283) or away win (0.1967).” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Oldham have a 57.5% model probability to win and an 80.3% double chance (1X), facing a Crawley side with a weak 1.792 defence rating.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Model gives Oldham a 57.5% win probability (H=0.575) and double-chance 1X = 0.8034, so 1X is the strongest single play.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Model gives Home 0.575 and 1X 0.8034 with Oldham clearly stronger (elo 1409 vs 1373, table 19th vs 24th); OU25 O at 0.5928 and BTTS Y at 0.5571 are lean overs but edges vs market are near zero so confidence stays moderate.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Oldham's model probability of 57.5% for a home win aligns closely with market odds (57.56%), showing no negative edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Home win probability is 0.575 according to our model, and home team has a higher elo rating (1409.1 vs 1373.6); both teams have a history of scoring and conceding.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Oldham's model probability for home win is 57.5% (vs Crawley's 19.7%), and their attack/defence ratings (0.82/1.326) outperform Crawley's (0.69/1.792).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Our model gives BTTS Yes a 55.71% chance versus the market at 59.67%, showing slight value.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.