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England · League Two · Sat 31 Oct · 15:00
10th · 19 pts · +2 GD
3:1
Full time
5th · 21 pts · -2 GD
51%
Tranmere
25%
Draw
24%
Cheltenham
Bookmakers say
49% / 26% / 26%
Where we differ most
H +2%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 76%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 76%; the bookmakers say 74%.
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 1439 | 1.09 | 1.07 |
| Cheltenham | 1404 | 1.21 | 1.07 |
Tranmere rated 35 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProTranmere 3-1 Cheltenham. Our model leaned Tranmere to win (51%) and called it right. Picks: Home or draw won (+0.0u), Tranmere to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), Tranmere to win won (+8.9u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Tranmere's model probability of 50.09% for a home win exceeds the market's 50.4%, offering slight value.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“Our model gives Tranmere a 50.1% chance to win at home, the highest single outcome, and they face a Cheltenham side with three losses in their last four league games.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Tranmere has a 50.09% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than the 24.5% for Cheltenham.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 35% |
“The model slightly favors Tranmere to win at 50.1%, and gives a 59.5% chance of both teams scoring.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Home 50.09% and Draw 25.42% (1X = 75.51%), so double chance 1X is the clearest edge.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 42% |
“Model gives home 0.5009 and 1X 0.7551 with Cheltenham's weak defence (1.48) favouring Tranmere; BTTS Y at 0.5953 and OU25 O at 0.5501 are only mild leans with near-zero edges.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Model gives Tranmere 50.1% win probability vs 50.4% market, a slight -0.0031 edge, but they have home advantage and higher ELO (1439.7 vs 1444.7 is close).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Tranmere a 50.09% chance of winning (H: 0.5009), and both teams to score is likely with a probability of 59.53% (Y: 0.5953); Tranmere's form and ratings support this.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Tranmere's model home win probability is 50.09% vs Cheltenham's 24.5%, with Tranmere's attack (0.838) and defence (1.235) slightly weaker but home advantage and higher table position (12th vs 3rd) favor them.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Our model shows a slight edge for Over 2.5 goals (55.01%) versus the market (54.99%), driven by Cheltenham's high defence rating (1.482) and Tranmere's weak defence (1.219).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.