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England · National League · Fri 30 Oct · 19:45
3rd · 29 pts · +6 GD
3:1
Full time
12th · 21 pts · -8 GD
57%
AFC Fylde
22%
Draw
22%
AFC Hornchurch
Bookmakers say
62% / 20% / 18%
Where we differ most
A +4%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 78%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 78%; the bookmakers say 80%. The value angle is Draw or away win (X2): we say 44% against the market's 38%.
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1474 | 1.10 | 1.15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 1428 | 0.80 | 1.34 |
AFC Fylde rated 45 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProAFC Fylde 3-1 AFC Hornchurch. Our model leaned AFC Fylde to win (57%) and called it right. Picks: Home or away won (+0.0u), AFC Fylde to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 68% |
“AFC Fylde's model probability of 55.2% home win is substantial, supported by their superior Elo rating (1471 vs 1408), better attack rating (1.169 vs 0.798), and recent form (3-1 win).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Model gives AFC Fylde a 55.2% chance to win at home, supported by their superior table position (6th vs 10th) and stronger attack rating (1.169 vs 0.798).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“AFC Fylde has a strong home win probability of 0.552 according to our model, significantly higher than AFC Hornchurch's away win probability of 0.2504.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“AFC Fylde 是明确的胜者热门,我们的模型给出的概率为 55.2%。模型还略微倾向于双方不进球(52.4%)和低于 2.5 球(51.7%)。.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Model gives AFC Fylde a 55.20% chance to win vs a 19.76% draw, implying a 80.24% chance of a decisive result (12).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 58% |
“Model gives home 0.552 and 1X 0.7496, backed by Fylde’s higher elo (1471 vs 1407) and 6th vs 10th.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 72% |
“Model gives AFC Fylde 55.2% win probability with strong home form (3 wins in last 6 including 5-0 FA Cup rout) and superior ratings (attack 1.159 vs 0.801, defence 1.181 vs 1.356).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“The model gives AFC Fylde a 55.2% chance of winning at home against AFC Hornchurch, who have a weaker attack and defence rating (0.801 and 1.356 vs 1.159 and 1.181).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Model gives home win 55.2% (H:0.552) and Hornchurch's attack (0.801) is weak.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives AFC Fylde a 55.2% chance of winning, supported by stronger attack (1.159) and defence (1.181) ratings in the Dixon-Coles model.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.