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England · National League · Sat 31 Oct · 15:00
6th · 28 pts
2:4
Full time
7th · 26 pts · +9 GD
33%
Altrincham
25%
Draw
42%
Carlisle
Bookmakers say
32% / 25% / 43%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Consensus
1X2
Home 70%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 80%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | 1467 | 1.03 | 1.41 |
| Carlisle | 1455 | 1.19 | 1.28 |
Altrincham rated 12 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProAltrincham 2-4 Carlisle. Our model leaned Carlisle to win (42%) and called it right. Picks: H:0.25 lost (-2.6u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), A:0.25 won (+6.7u).
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“The model gives Altrincham a slight edge (40.1% vs 39.05%) and a strong 60.95% chance for the double chance 1X, while BTTS and OU25 are essentially a coin flip.” |
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Under | 55% |
“Altrincham has a slightly higher probability of winning at home (0.401) compared to Carlisle (0.3905).” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Under | 25% |
“The model gives Altrincham a slight home edge at 40.1% over Carlisle's 39.05%, supporting the 1X double chance at 60.95%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Under | 75% |
“Model slightly favours home (Altrincham) 40.10% vs Carlisle 39.05% with a 20.85% draw probability, while double-chance 12 (either side wins) is 79.15%.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Altrincham 40.1% win probability vs Carlisle's 39.05%, but the double chance 1X at 60.95% offers better security for a tight match.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Draw | Yes | Under | 55% |
“The model's probability for under 2.5 goals is 0.5039, slightly edging over 0.4961 for over 2.5 goals; both teams have relatively strong defence ratings (1.236 and 1.104), suggesting a potentially low-scoring match.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Under | 55% |
“Home model prob 40.1% vs away 39.05%, Carlisle's attack (1.257) and Altrincham's defence (1.249) suggest tight game but home edge.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“The model shows a near-even 49.61% chance of over 2.5 goals, slightly favoring under at 50.39%.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.