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France · Ligue 1 · Fri 30 Oct · 18:00
5th · 17 pts · +4 GD
5:2
Full time
7th · 16 pts · +1 GD
36%
Nice
25%
Draw
38%
Rennes
Bookmakers say
37% / 26% / 37%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 74%. The value angle is H:0 at 1.87: we say 48%.
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 1365 | 0.67 | 1.52 |
| Rennes | 1523 | 1.20 | 1.44 |
Rennes rated 157 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProNice 5-2 Rennes. Our model leaned Rennes to win (38%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Home or away won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), H:0 won (+8.7u), Rennes to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Rennes (ELO 1535.2, 5th place) are significantly stronger than Nice (ELO 1374.7, 11th place) with superior attack (1.289 vs 0.759) and similar defence ratings.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Rennes has a clear edge in model probability (40.6% vs 34.5% for Nice) and a higher Elo rating (1525 vs 1372), while BTTS Yes (59.6%) and Over 2.5 (61.1%) are both the most likely outcomes.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Rennes has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 40.59% compared to Nice's 34.48%, and also boasts a better table position (5th with 16 points vs 11th with 11 points).” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | Yes | Over | 58% |
“The model gives Rennes a 40.6% win probability, holding a9 slight>#%>B$D@&^/0.005 edge over the market.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 72% |
“The model rates Rennes as the favorite (40.6%) vs Nice (34.5%) with draws at 24.9%, and the double-chance 12 (no draw) is highest-probability at 75.07%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Model gives Rennes the edge at 0.4059 vs Nice 0.3448 with superior elo (1524 vs 1371) and attack (1.328); BTTS Y 0.5962 and OU25 O 0.6111 align with both sides' recent scoring.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Rennes has superior ratings (ELO 1524.6 vs 1371.8, attack 1.328 vs 0.739) and sits 5th vs Nice's 11th.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives 61.1% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams have strong attack ratings (Nice: 0.739, Rennes: 1.328).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Rennes have higher Elo (1524.6 vs 1371.8) and better form (4 wins in last 6).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 72% |
“The model gives BTTS a 59.62% chance, with Rennes' strong attack (1.328) facing Nice's weak defence (1.396).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.