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France · Ligue 2 · Fri 30 Oct · 19:00
16th · 9 pts · -7 GD
1:0
Full time
14th · 10 pts · -1 GD
37%
Laval
30%
Draw
33%
Boulogne
Bookmakers say
38% / 29% / 33%
Where we differ most
A 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 70%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 70%; the bookmakers say 71%. The value angle is H:0 at 1.75: we say 52%.
Both teams to score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Consensus
1X2
Home 92%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laval | 1331 | 0.76 | 1.53 |
| Boulogne | 1365 | 0.66 | 1.23 |
Boulogne rated 33 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProLaval 1-0 Boulogne. Our model leaned Laval to win (37%) and called it right. Picks: H:0 won (+7.5u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U won (+0.0u), Laval to win won (+13.2u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Laval has a 39.35% model probability vs Boulogne's 31.85%, with a +0.76% edge on home win.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“Model gives Laval a 40.1% win probability, the highest among 1X2 outcomes, and Boulogne's defence rating (1.175) is stronger than Laval's attack (0.793), supporting BTTS No at 56.2%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Laval has a strong defensive rating of 1.588, and Boulogne's attack rating is low at 0.711.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 56% |
“The model favors Under 2.5 goals at 0.5592 with a positive edge of 0.0081, and BTTS No at 0.5621.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“Model gives Laval a 39.35% win probability vs Boulogne 31.85% and a draw 28.80%, while the 12 (double chance) probability is 71.21%, making DC 12 the strongest play.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 42% |
“Model gives home a slim 39.4% edge over away 31.9% despite Laval's poor form and 18th place; DC 12 at 71.2% is the clearest lean.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Boulogne 31.85% win probability vs market 31.32% (slight edge +0.53%), while Laval's home win is overpriced with -0.76% edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Home win probability is 0.4011 (market) and 0.3935 (model); both teams to score is unlikely with a probability of 0.4379; under 2.5 goals has a probability of 0.5592.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Laval's home model prob (0.3935) and Boulogne's poor away form (1W in 6) favor home win.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives Laval (H) a 39.35% chance to win, slightly above the bookmakers' 40.11%, and shows a positive edge of 0.0053 for Boulogne in 1X2.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.