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France · Ligue 2 · Fri 30 Oct · 19:00
15th · 9 pts · -6 GD
1:1
Full time
17th · 8 pts · -5 GD
64%
Nantes
21%
Draw
14%
Clermont
Bookmakers say
67% / 21% / 13%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 86%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 86%; the bookmakers say 87%.
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 50%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 1333 | 0.88 | 1.73 |
| Clermont | 1388 | 0.78 | 1.15 |
Clermont rated 55 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProNantes 1-1 Clermont. Our model leaned Nantes to win (64%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Home or away lost (0.0u), Nantes to win lost (0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Nantes to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Nantes has a 64% model probability of home win with a +2.2% edge over market (66.3%), supported by superior Elo rating (1399.5 vs 1370.1) and better defensive rating (1.615 vs 1.289).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“The model gives Nantes a 64.1% win probability and the double chance 1X is at 85.6%, which is very strong.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Nantes has a significantly higher probability of winning at 64.07% compared to Clermont's 14.43%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Over | 55% |
“Our model gives Nantes a 64.07% chance to win, the highest probability for any outcome.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 80% |
“The model gives Nantes a 0.6407 chance to win and the 1X double-chance is 0.8564, so 1X is the strongest single play; BTTS No is slightly favoured (N 0.5209) and Over 2.5 is marginally favoured (O 0.5217).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 48% |
“Model gives Nantes 64.07% home win and 85.64% 1X double chance vs Clermont's weak attack (0.82-0.83); BTTS no 52.09% and OU25 under edged +0.011 over market.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“Nantes has 64.1% win probability but negative edge (-0.0222), while the double chance 1X at 85.6% model probability offers safer value.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Nantes a 64.07% chance of winning (1X2), and both teams have poor defensive ratings (Clermont: 1.289, Nantes: 1.615).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Nantes' model home win probability is 64.07% with strong defensive rating (1.615) vs Clermont's weak attack (0.823).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“Nantes has a higher model probability to win or draw (H: 0.6407, D: 0.215) and a strong 1X double chance (0.8564).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.