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Italy · Serie A · Mon 2 Nov · 17:30
17th · 8 pts · -10 GD
2:4
Full time
16th · 8 pts · -8 GD
36%
Sassuolo
25%
Draw
39%
Fiorentina
Bookmakers say
34% / 25% / 41%
Where we differ most
H +3%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%. The value angle is H:0.25 at 1.77: we say 55%.
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 1430 | 1.09 | 1.25 |
| Fiorentina | 1408 | 0.91 | 1.32 |
Sassuolo rated 22 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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