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Scotland · Championship · Sat 31 Oct · 15:00
13th · 3 pts · +1 GD
3:2
Full time
14th · 0 pts · -2 GD
54%
Ayr Utd
25%
Draw
21%
Queen's Park
Bookmakers say
55% / 25% / 20%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 79%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 79%; the bookmakers say 80%.
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1432 | - | - |
| Queen's Park | 1389 | - | - |
Ayr Utd rated 43 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProAyr Utd 3-2 Queen's Park. Our model leaned Ayr Utd to win (54%) and called it right. Picks: Home or draw won (+0.0u), Ayr Utd to win won (+0.0u), U lost (0.0u), Ayr Utd to win won (+7.3u).
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Ayr Utd has a 42.86% win probability with a slight ELO advantage (1421.8 vs 1428.7 is marginal).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Under | 58% |
“The model gives Ayr Utd a 42.9% chance to win, the highest of the three outcomes, and BTTS-Yes a slight 53.5% edge.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Under | 55% |
“Ayr Utd has a 42.86% chance of winning according to the model, which is the highest probability among the 1X2 outcomes.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Under | 62% |
“Ayr Utd has the highest win probability at 42.86% despite Queen's Park's slightly higher ELO rating.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Under | 72% |
“The model gives Ayr Utd a 42.86% win probability vs Queen's Park 31.28% and double-chance 12 is 74.14%, so Ayr is the favoured outcome to avoid an away win.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Under | 38% |
“Model gives home 0.4286 and 1X 0.6872 with near-identical elos (1421.8 vs 1428.7); OU25 is a coin-flip at 0.506 U while BTTS edges Y at 0.5349.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Ayr Utd 42.86% win probability vs 31.28% for Queen's Park, but with only 1 match of form data for the away side and near-identical Elo ratings (1421.8 vs 1428.7), uncertainty is high.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Under | 60% |
“Home win probability is 0.4286, slightly favouring Ayr Utd; BTTS probability is 0.5349, leaning towards both teams scoring.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Under | 60% |
“Model gives Ayr Utd 42.86% home win chance vs Queen's Park's 31.28%, with BTTS at 53.49%.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a near-even 49.4% chance for over 2.5 goals and 50.6% for under, slightly favoring under.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.