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Scotland · League One · Sat 31 Oct · 15:00
12th · 5 pts · +1 GD
1:1
Full time
3rd · 20 pts · -3 GD
66%
Hamilton Academical
19%
Draw
14%
Montrose
Bookmakers say
68% / 19% / 13%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 86%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 86%; the bookmakers say 87%.
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Academical | 1464 | - | - |
| Montrose | 1410 | - | - |
Hamilton Academical rated 53 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProHamilton Academical 1-1 Montrose. Our model leaned Hamilton Academical to win (66%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Hamilton Academical to win lost (0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Hamilton Academical to win lost (-10.0u), Hamilton Academical to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Hamilton has a 45.3% win probability with a 8-point ELO advantage (1452.7 vs 1444.5) and sits 9 places higher in the table despite fewer games played.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Under | 55% |
“Hamilton is favored with a 45.3% win probability and a higher Elo rating (1452.7 vs 1444.5), but the model shows a very close 1X2 market and a safer 70.9% probability for the home double chance (1X).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Hamilton Academical has a 45.27% chance of winning according to our model, compared to Montrose's 29.09%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Under | 45% |
“The model indicates a draw is the least likely outcome at 25.63%, giving the '12' market a high 74.37% probability.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Under | 70% |
“The model gives Hamilton a 45.27% win vs Montrose 29.09% and draw 25.63%, and double-chance 12 is 74.37% so DC 12 is the clearest edge.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Under | 42% |
“Model gives home 0.4527 and 1X 0.7091 with a slight elo edge (1452.7 vs 1444.5); OU25 is a coin-flip at 0.506 U and BTTS only 0.5309 Y so the double chance is the clearest lean.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Hamilton 45.3% win probability vs 29.1% for Montrose, but with 25.6% draw chance the 1X double chance at 70.9% is the safest edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Under | 60% |
“The model gives Hamilton Academical a 45.27% chance of winning at home, and a 70.91% chance of not losing (1X), citing probs: {'H': 0.4527, '1X': 0.7091}.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Model gives Hamilton 45.27% home win chance vs Montrose's 29.09%, and Hamilton's recent form (1W, 1D) is solid.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a 50.6% chance of under 2.5 goals, slightly favoring 'U'.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.