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Spain · La Liga · Fri 30 Oct · 20:00
9th · 12 pts
0:1
Full time
14th · 11 pts · -1 GD
69%
Villarreal
18%
Draw
13%
Espanol
Bookmakers say
69% / 18% / 13%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 87%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 87%; the bookmakers say 87%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 92%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1519 | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| Espanol | 1382 | 0.81 | 1.27 |
Villarreal rated 138 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProVillarreal 0-1 Espanol. Our model leaned Villarreal to win (69%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Villarreal to win lost (0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Villarreal to win lost (-10.0u), Villarreal to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Villarreal's model probability of 68.13% for home win significantly outweighs Espanol's 13.44%, supported by Villarreal's superior Elo rating (1509.8 vs 1364.3) and stronger attack rating (1.336 vs 0.84).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“Villarreal has a 68.1% win probability and a strong home rating (attack 1.336), while Espanol is in poor form with four losses in six matches.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Villarreal has a strong home advantage with a model probability of 0.6813 for a home win, significantly higher than Espanyol's away win probability of 0.1344.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives Villarreal a 68.13% win chance, strongly supported by their superior Elo rating of 1509.8 compared to Espanyol's 1364.3.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 80% |
“The model heavily favors Villarreal (Home 68.13%) and gives the 1X double chance a 86.56% probability, making it the safest single play; BTTS is marginal at 51.49% and Over 2.5 is 63.38%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Model gives Villarreal 0.6813 home win and 0.8656 on 1X, backed by elo 1509 vs 1364 and Espanyol’s 1W-1D-4L form plus 18th place.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Under | 62% |
“Villarreal's home win probability of 68.1% and 1X double chance at 86.6% offer the safest value given Espanyol's poor form (4 losses in last 6).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 80% |
“The model gives Villarreal (home) a 68.13% chance of winning (1X2), with a 51.49% chance of both teams scoring (BTTS) and a 63.38% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25); Villarreal's recent form and ratings support this.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Villarreal's model home win probability is 68.13% with a slight edge (-0.0055), and their attack (1.298) vs Espanyol's defence (1.173) supports this.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model shows a 51.49% chance for both teams to score, slightly above the bookmakers' 51.4% implied probability.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.