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Spain · Segunda Division · Sat 31 Oct · 13:00
21st · 11 pts · -10 GD
1:0
Full time
5th · 24 pts · +15 GD
28%
Sociedad B
25%
Draw
47%
Girona
Bookmakers say
28% / 25% / 46%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%. The value angle is A:0.5 at 2.00: we say 77%.
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sociedad B | 1355 | 0.94 | 1.39 |
| Girona | 1441 | 1.42 | 0.93 |
Girona rated 86 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProSociedad B 1-0 Girona. Our model leaned Girona to win (47%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:0.5 lost (-10.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Girona to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Girona's model probability of 47.72% for away win significantly outweighs Sociedad B's 27.32%, supported by Girona's dominant form (3 wins in last 6, +16 goal difference, 4th place) versus Sociedad B's collapse (6 consecutive losses, -11 GD, 21st place).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 68% |
“Girona has a strong 47.7% win probability and a 176-point ELO advantage, while Sociedad B is in poor form with six consecutive losses.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 80% |
“Girona has a significantly higher win probability of 0.4772 compared to Sociedad B's 0.2732.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Girona have a 47.7% model probability and a 0.0061 edge, facing a Sociedad B side with six straight losses.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 78% |
“The model gives Girona a 47.72% win probability with double-chance 12 at 75.05% (model DC=0.7505), and Girona's ratings show much stronger attack/defence (attack 1.588 vs 0.904) while Sociedad B have lost their last six and sit on 8 pts vs Girona's 24; BTTS (56.44%) and O2.5 (56.9%) also lean to goals.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | Yes | Over | 57% |
“Girona hold a clear edge with model A 0.477 / X2 0.727, elo 1516 vs 1341, table 4th vs 21st and far superior form (4W2D vs 6L); BTTS Y 0.564 and OU25 O 0.569 align with Girona attack 1.59 and Sociedad B defence 1.44.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | Yes | Over | 72% |
“Girona's model win probability is 47.7% vs market 47.1% (slight edge), while Sociedad B has lost 6 straight games with poor defensive ratings (1.476 DC defence, 1.435 Poisson defence).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Girona has a higher win probability (0.4772) and is in better form; Sociedad B is struggling with 6 consecutive losses, citing probs.model['1X2'] and team form.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Girona's model win probability is 47.72% with strong form (4W, 2D) and higher Elo (1516.4).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Girona has a strong attack (1.588 DC factor) and is in 4th, while Sociedad B is 21st with poor form (6 losses).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.