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England · Championship · Tue 3 Nov · 19:45
23rd · 10 pts · -16 GD
0:4
Full time
12th · 21 pts · +8 GD
30%
Derby
26%
Draw
44%
Norwich
Bookmakers say
25% / 24% / 51%
Where we differ most
H +5%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 74%; the bookmakers say 76%. The value angle is H:0.5 at 1.76: we say 64%.
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1394 | 0.96 | 1.26 |
| Norwich | 1462 | 1.09 | 1.32 |
Norwich rated 68 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProDerby 0-4 Norwich. Our model leaned Norwich to win (44%) and called it right. Picks: H:0.5 lost (-10.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), H:0.5 lost (-10.0u).