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England · Championship · Wed 4 Nov · 19:45
14th · 18 pts
3:3
Full time
9th · 23 pts · +14 GD
29%
Cardiff
23%
Draw
47%
West Ham
Bookmakers say
28% / 23% / 50%
Where we differ most
H 2%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 77%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 77%; the bookmakers say 77%.
Both teams to score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1508 | 0.84 | 1.56 |
| West Ham | 1509 | 1.90 | 1.25 |
West Ham rated 1 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProCardiff 3-3 West Ham. Our model leaned West Ham to win (47%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:0.5 won (+9.5u), Home or away lost (0.0u), O won (+0.0u), West Ham to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“West Ham's superior ratings (1500 elo vs Cardiff's 1422.7, 1.751 attack vs 1.066) and league position (8th vs 18th) align with model probability of 47.3% for away win versus 29.3% for home.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“West Ham's model probability (47.3%) and superior attack rating (1.751 vs 1.066) outweigh Cardiff's home advantage, while BTTS-Y (64.7%) and OU25-O (68.0%) are strongly supported by the model.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“West Ham has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 0.4727 compared to Cardiff's 0.293.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives West Ham the highest single-win chance (A 0.4727 vs H 0.2930) and Double Chance 12 is 0.7658, so avoiding the draw is the strongest edge; ratings also favour West Ham (elo 1500 vs 1422.7, attack 1.751 vs 1.063).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model predicts 68.03% chance of over 2.5 goals, and the bookmakers' odds imply 69.74% (data from 'probs' -> 'OU25'); both teams have strong attack ratings (Cardiff: 1.063, West Ham: 1.751 from 'ratings').” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“West Ham has a strong attack (1.751 DC factor) and Cardiff's defence is weak (1.426 DC), supporting a 64.7% model probability for BTTS.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.