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England · Championship · Wed 4 Nov · 20:00
17th · 18 pts · -8 GD
1:2
Full time
5th · 28 pts · +8 GD
29%
Bristol City
27%
Draw
44%
Wolves
Bookmakers say
26% / 26% / 48%
Where we differ most
H +3%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 73%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 73%; the bookmakers say 74%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1407 | 0.93 | 1.27 |
| Wolves | 1360 | 1.40 | 1.12 |
Bristol City rated 47 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProBristol City 1-2 Wolves. Our model leaned Wolves to win (44%) and called it right. Picks: A:0.5 won (+10.1u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U lost (0.0u), H:0.5 lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Wolves (Elo 1473.8, pos 7) are stronger than Bristol City (Elo 1418.3, pos 15) with superior attack (1.225 vs 0.914) and defence (1.121 vs 1.222) ratings.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a slight edge to Under 2.5 goals (50.86% vs market 49.11%) and BTTS is essentially a coin flip (50.59% Yes).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Wolves have a stronger Elo rating of 1473.8 compared to Bristol City's 1418.3, and our model gives them a 44.16% chance of winning.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Under | 72% |
“Model gives Wolves 44.16% vs Bristol City 28.79% (draw 27.05%), and the double chance 12 is 72.97% — the strongest edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Under | 60% |
“Model probability for under 2.5 goals is 0.5086, slightly higher than over 2.5 goals at 0.4914; away win probability is 0.4416, home win is 0.2879.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Under | 68% |
“The model shows a slight edge (0.0175) for under 2.5 goals with a 50.86% chance, aligning with Wolves' stronger defense (DC defence 1.078) and Bristol City's weak attack (0.881).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.