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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
9th · 14 pts · -4 GD
1:5
Full time
2nd · 27 pts · +13 GD
33%
Westerlo
25%
Draw
42%
Charleroi
Bookmakers say
33% / 25% / 42%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%. The value angle is H:0.25 at 1.79: we say 51%.
Both teams to score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Consensus
1X2
Away 88%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Westerlo | 1445 | 1.02 | 1.53 |
| Charleroi | 1501 | 0.96 | 1.17 |
Charleroi rated 56 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProWesterlo 1-5 Charleroi. Our model leaned Charleroi to win (42%) and called it right. Picks: H:0.25 lost (-7.5u), Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Charleroi (3rd place, 24pts) has strong attacking form with a 5-2 win last match, while Westerlo (8th place, 14pts) shows defensive vulnerability (1-4 loss, 4-4 draw recently).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Charleroi is favored by the model (41.0% win probability vs.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Charleroi has a 41.02% chance of winning according to our model, slightly higher than the market's 41.77%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model gives Charleroi (A) 41.02% vs Westerlo (H) 33.97% (draw 25.01%); BTTS 61.28% and Over 2.5 60.75%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model predicts 60.75% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25), aligning with the market probability of 60.84%; Charleroi has a strong recent form with 4 wins in last 5 games.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives a 61.28% chance of both teams scoring, supported by Westerlo's weak defence (DC defence 1.615) and Charleroi's strong attack (DC attack 0.987).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.