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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Fri 6 Nov · 19:30
10th · 12 pts · -10 GD
3:1
Full time
18th · 4 pts · -13 GD
41%
Hamburger SV
26%
Draw
33%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bookmakers say
41% / 26% / 33%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 74%; the bookmakers say 74%.
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 1452 | 1.55 | 1.38 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1432 | 0.83 | 1.38 |
Hamburger SV rated 20 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProHamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Our model leaned Hamburger SV to win (41%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), U lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Hamburg has a 40.15% model probability vs Gladbach's 34.28%, with a +0.23% edge favoring the home side.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Our model gives Hamburg a slight edge at 40.2% to win, and the double chance 1X is the strongest market probability at 65.7%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Hamburger SV has a slightly higher model probability to win at home (0.4015) compared to Borussia Mönchengladbach (0.3428).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 74% |
“Model gives Hamburger SV 40.15% vs draw 25.57% and Gladbach 34.28%, with BTTS 51.81% and Over 2.5 at 59.19%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model predicts 59.19% chance of over 2.5 goals, and the market odds imply 60.08% probability; both teams have relatively weak defence ratings (Borussia M 1.496, Hamburger SV 1.445), supporting the over 2.5 goals prediction.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“The model gives Hamburger SV a 40.15% chance to win, slightly above the bookmakers' 39.92%, with a small positive edge of 0.0023.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.