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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sat 7 Nov · 14:30
2nd · 21 pts · +9 GD
2:1
Full time
7th · 13 pts · -1 GD
74%
Dortmund
15%
Draw
10%
Elversberg
Bookmakers say
75% / 15% / 10%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 90%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 90%; the bookmakers say 90%.
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund | 1626 | 1.26 | 0.80 |
| Elversberg | 1532 | 1.58 | 1.37 |
Dortmund rated 94 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProDortmund 2-1 Elversberg. Our model leaned Dortmund to win (74%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Dortmund to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), Dortmund to win won (+2.9u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Dortmund's model probability of 75.12% for a home win significantly outweighs Elversberg's 10.16%, supported by Dortmund's strong form (4W-2D in last 6) and superior Elo rating (1616 vs 1455).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Our model gives Dortmund a 75.1% win probability, and they are in strong recent form with four wins in their last six.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Dortmund has a strong home win probability of 0.7512 according to our model, significantly higher than the draw (0.1472) or away win (0.1016).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Model gives Dortmund a 75.12% chance to win and the 1X double-chance probability is 89.84%, the strongest edge for a single selection.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“The model gives Dortmund a 75.12% chance of winning (H: 0.7512), with a high probability of over 2.5 goals (O: 0.7121).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Dortmund have a 75.1% model probability to win with strong form (4 wins in last 6) and superior ratings (attack 1.221 vs Elversberg's 1.643 but defence 0.764 vs 1.643).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.