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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sat 7 Nov · 14:30
11th · 10 pts · -1 GD
1:2
Full time
1st · 21 pts · +20 GD
12%
Mainz
14%
Draw
74%
Bayern Munich
Bookmakers say
12% / 14% / 74%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 88%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 88%; the bookmakers say 88%. The value angle is A:1.5 at 1.75: we say 94%.
Both teams to score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
81%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 1478 | 0.91 | 1.35 |
| Bayern Munich | 1742 | 2.11 | 0.93 |
Bayern Munich rated 265 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProMainz 1-2 Bayern Munich. Our model leaned Bayern Munich to win (74%) and called it right. Picks: A:1.5 won (+7.5u), Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Bayern Munich to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Bayern Munich's dominant form (4W-2D in last 6) and elite Elo rating (1720.6 vs Mainz's 1417.5) combined with superior attack rating (2.24 vs 0.922) gives them 73.6% win probability with a +0.78% edge over market odds.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 74% |
“Bayern's model win probability is 73.6% with a strong Elo rating of 1720.6, while Mainz is in poor form with three losses in their last four matches.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Bayern Munich has a strong model probability of 0.736 to win, significantly higher than Mainz's 0.1247.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 85% |
“The model gives Bayern (away) 73.6%, draw 13.93% and Mainz 12.47%, so double chance X2 is 87.53% (model DC X2=0.8753).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Bayern Munich has a high win probability (0.736) according to the model, and their recent form shows 4 wins in last 6 matches; Mainz has struggled with 3 losses in last 6 matches.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Bayern's strong attack (dc.attack 2.217) faces Mainz's weak defence (dc.defence 1.477), with a 66.4% model probability for both teams to score.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.