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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sat 7 Nov · 14:30
12th · 10 pts · -3 GD
2:2
Full time
9th · 12 pts · -5 GD
32%
Paderborn
24%
Draw
43%
Ein Frankfurt
Bookmakers say
31% / 24% / 44%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 76%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 76%; the bookmakers say 76%. The value angle is H:0.25 at 1.89: we say 59%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Consensus
1X2
Away 88%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn | 1500 | 0.52 | 1.00 |
| Ein Frankfurt | 1443 | 1.09 | 1.81 |
Paderborn rated 57 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProPaderborn 2-2 Ein Frankfurt. Our model leaned Ein Frankfurt to win (43%) and got this one wrong. Picks: H:0.25 pushed, Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Home or away lost (0.0u), O won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Frankfurt's superior attack rating (1.128 vs Paderborn's 0.494) and recent form (2W-1L) support over 2.5 goals at 65.6% model probability.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 62% |
“The model gives Frankfurt a 43.3% win probability with a slight edge over the market, and their attack rating (1.084) is much stronger than Paderborn's defence (0.955).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Our model predicts Over 2.5 goals with a 65.57% probability, which is higher than the market's 66.85% implied probability.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives DC 12 (no draw) a 0.7559 probability and an away win 0.4328 vs home 0.3227, so Away and 12 are the strongest plays.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model predicts 65.57% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25), aligning with the market edge; both teams have relatively weak defences (Paderborn: 0.955, Ein Frankfurt: 1.652 DC defence rating).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Our model gives Paderborn a 32.27% chance to win, slightly above the bookmakers' 31.18%, creating a small positive edge of +0.0109.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.