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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sat 7 Nov · 14:30
3rd · 18 pts · +14 GD
5:2
Full time
13th · 9 pts
67%
RB Leipzig
17%
Draw
16%
Augsburg
Bookmakers say
67% / 17% / 16%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 84%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 84%; the bookmakers say 84%.
Both teams to score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 1540 | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Augsburg | 1468 | 0.98 | 1.46 |
RB Leipzig rated 72 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProRB Leipzig 5-2 Augsburg. Our model leaned RB Leipzig to win (67%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score won (+0.0u), RB Leipzig to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), RB Leipzig to win won (+4.5u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Leipzig's model probability of 67.09% home win significantly outweighs Augsburg's 15.96%, supported by Leipzig's superior Elo rating (1539.1 vs 1419.9) and strong home form (3W-1L recent).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 67% |
“Our model gives RB Leipzig a 67.1% win probability, and their strong attack rating (1.345) contrasts with Augsburg's poor defence (1.475).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“RB Leipzig has a 67.09% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than Augsburg's 15.96%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives RB Leipzig a 67.09% win probability (H=0.6709) versus Augsburg 15.96% and BTTS probability is 60.96% (Y=0.6096).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“The model gives RB Leipzig a 67.09% chance of winning at home against Augsburg, with a 77.1% probability of over 2.5 goals, indicating a potentially high-scoring match; the 'OU25' market edge is -0.0068, suggesting a slight model vs market discrepancy but still favouring 'O'.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“RB Leipzig have a strong model probability (67.09%) and superior ratings, especially in attack (1.345) and defence (1.156).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.