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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sat 7 Nov · 17:30
8th · 12 pts
1:0
Full time
5th · 15 pts · +2 GD
59%
Stuttgart
20%
Draw
21%
Werder Bremen
Bookmakers say
59% / 20% / 21%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 80%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 80%; the bookmakers say 80%. The value angle is H:-0.75 at 1.78: we say 52%.
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart | 1574 | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| Werder Bremen | 1405 | 0.74 | 1.49 |
Stuttgart rated 169 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProStuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen. Our model leaned Stuttgart to win (59%) and called it right. Picks: H:-0.75 pushed, Both teams to score lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), Stuttgart to win won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Stuttgart's model probability of 59.77% home win significantly outweighs Bremen's 20.29%, supported by Stuttgart's superior Elo rating (1526 vs 1403.6) and stronger attack rating (1.315 vs 0.827).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Stuttgart's model win probability is 59.8% with a +0.28% edge, and they have a significant Elo rating advantage (1526 vs 1404).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Stuttgart has a strong home win probability of 0.5977 according to our model, significantly higher than the draw (0.1994) or away win (0.2029).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model makes Stuttgart favourites (H 0.5977) and they have a stronger attack rating (1.315 vs Bremen 0.871); BTTS is also more likely than not (Y 0.5924).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 80% |
“The model gives Stuttgart a 59.77% chance of winning (1X2:H=0.5977), and both teams to score is likely with BTTS:Y=0.5924; over 2.5 goals is also probable with OU25:O=0.7352.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Our model gives Stuttgart a 59.77% chance to win, supported by their higher attack rating (1.315 vs 0.871) and stronger overall form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.