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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sun 8 Nov · 14:30
15th · 9 pts · -3 GD
VS
Kick-off
6th · 13 pts · +2 GD
24%
1. FC Köln
23%
Draw
53%
Leverkusen
Bookmakers say
24% / 22% / 54%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 77%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 77%; the bookmakers say 78%.
Both teams to score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 1448 | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| Leverkusen | 1569 | 1.25 | 1.14 |
Leverkusen rated 120 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Leverkusen's model probability of 53.36% away win significantly outweighs Köln's 24.09% home win despite modest edge of -0.56%.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Leverkusen's model win probability is 53.4% (vs.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Leverkusen has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 53.36% compared to Koln's 24.09%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model gives Leverkusen (A) 53.36% vs draw 22.56% and home 24.09%, so away is the 1X2 pick.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model's probability for over 2.5 goals is 0.6854, and the bookmakers' odds imply a probability of 0.6911; both teams have relatively strong attack and defence ratings (Leverkusen: attack=1.279, defence=1.266; 1.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Leverkusen has a higher attack (1.279) and better form, while Köln's defence is weak (1.509).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.