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Germany · Bundesliga 2 · Sun 8 Nov · 12:30
5th · 17 pts · +8 GD
VS
Kick-off
8th · 12 pts
41%
Magdeburg
26%
Draw
34%
St Pauli
Bookmakers say
40% / 26% / 34%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 74%; the bookmakers say 74%.
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 86%
O/U 2.5
Over 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg | 1488 | 1.11 | 1.47 |
| St Pauli | 1326 | 0.88 | 0.99 |
Magdeburg rated 162 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Magdeburg's model probability of 40.83% for home win exceeds the market's 40.38%, providing a small edge.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Our model gives Magdeburg a 40.8% win probability (vs.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Magdeburg has a 40.83% chance of winning according to our model, compared to St Pauli's 33.54%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Model gives Magdeburg the highest win chance (H 40.83% vs A 33.54% and D 25.63%) and double-chance 12 is very strong (DC 12 = 74.38%).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model gives 58.28% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25), and the market probability is 58.88%, indicating a slight edge; home team Magdeburg has a strong attack rating (1.164) and poor defence (1.383), suggesting a potentially high-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“Our model gives Magdeburg a 40.83% chance to win, slightly above the market's 40.38%, with a positive edge of +0.0045.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.