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England · Premier League · Fri 6 Nov · 20:00
5th · 16 pts · +2 GD
3:1
Full time
17th · 9 pts · -9 GD
57%
Everton
24%
Draw
19%
Coventry
Bookmakers say
58% / 23% / 19%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 81%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 81%; the bookmakers say 81%.
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 62%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1469 | 0.89 | 1.07 |
| Coventry | 1545 | 0.20 | 1.45 |
Coventry rated 76 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProEverton 3-1 Coventry. Our model leaned Everton to win (57%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), Everton to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Everton's model probability of 56.22% for home win has a +0.71% edge over market (55.93%), and they're 7th in table vs Coventry's 16th with stronger defensive ratings (1.075 vs 1.531).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Everton has a 56.2% model probability to win, a strong home rating advantage (defence 1.075 vs attack 0.817), and is higher in the table.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Everton has a 56.22% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than Coventry's 19.89%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 78% |
“The model gives Everton a 56.22% win probability (H=0.5622) and a 1X double-chance of 80.11% (1X=0.8011).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Everton a 56.93% chance of winning (H: 0.5693), and the over 2.5 goals market has a 54.77% probability (O: 0.5477); both are relatively strong probabilities.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“Our model gives Everton a 56.2% chance of winning, supported by stronger home form and Coventry's poor defensive rating (defence: 1.531).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.