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England · Premier League · Sat 7 Nov · 12:30
8th · 14 pts · +2 GD
1:0
Full time
10th · 12 pts · -1 GD
36%
Leeds
28%
Draw
36%
Tottenham
Bookmakers say
35% / 28% / 37%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 72%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 72%; the bookmakers say 72%.
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Consensus
1X2
Home 50%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 1455 | 0.98 | 1.15 |
| Tottenham | 1361 | 0.81 | 1.32 |
Leeds rated 94 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProLeeds 1-0 Tottenham. Our model leaned Tottenham to win (36%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score: No won (+0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U won (+0.0u), Leeds to win won (+17.2u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Leeds at home has a slight model edge (35.95% vs 36.92% market for H), and Tottenham's poor form (1W-1D-1L in last 3 PL games) contrasts with Leeds' home advantage.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 58% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a 51.5% probability with a positive edge, and Leeds' strong defence rating (1.125) suggests a low-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“The model predicts BTTS:N with a 51.36% probability, which is the highest probability among all outcomes.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 72% |
“Model strongly favours no-draw: DC 12 = 0.719 (71.9%), so back 12.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Draw | No | Under | 60% |
“The model's probability for under 2.5 goals is 0.5147, slightly higher than over 2.5 goals, and the edge is -0.0046, indicating a small advantage; Leeds' and Tottenham's defensive ratings are above 1, suggesting they are stronger defensively than the league average.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a 51.47% chance of under 2.5 goals with a slight edge over market odds, and Leeds' low attack rating (0.914) supports a low-scoring game.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.