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England · Premier League · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
1st · 27 pts · +10 GD
1:0
Full time
13th · 11 pts
84%
Arsenal
11%
Draw
5%
Hull
Bookmakers say
85% / 10% / 4%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 95%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 95%; the bookmakers say 96%.
Both teams to score
37%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 75%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1664 | 1.30 | 0.66 |
| Hull | 1463 | 0.85 | 0.76 |
Arsenal rated 201 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProArsenal 1-0 Hull. Our model leaned Arsenal to win (84%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score: No won (+0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Arsenal to win won (+1.6u), Arsenal to win won (+1.6u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Arsenal's model probability of 84.1% home win is significantly stronger than Hull's 4.73%, supported by Arsenal's 1st place table position (24pts) vs Hull's 11th (11pts) and superior Elo rating (1640 vs 1442).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Arsenal's model win probability is 84.1% with a strong home rating (attack 1.29), while Hull's BTTS model probability is only 36.9% and they have drawn four of their last six.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Over | 85% |
“Arsenal has a very high win probability of 0.841 according to our model, significantly higher than the draw (0.1116) or away win (0.0473).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 90% |
“Model gives Arsenal an 84.1% chance to win (home win 0.841) and double-chance 1X is 95.27% (DC 1X = 0.9527), while BTTS No is 63.12% and Over 2.5 is 63.37%, so 1X is the safest high-confidence play.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 85% |
“The model gives Arsenal (home) an 84.1% chance of winning (1X2), with a 63.12% probability of not both teams scoring (BTTS:N); the over 2.5 goals market has a 63.37% probability.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 85% |
“The model gives a 63.12% chance of under 2.5 goals and 63.12% chance of no BTTS, both strongly supported by Arsenal's strong defense (defence rating 0.589) and Hull's weak attack (attack rating 0.827).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.