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England · Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 14:00
19th · 7 pts · -12 GD
VS
Kick-off
6th · 15 pts · +2 GD
18%
Crystal Palace
22%
Draw
61%
Liverpool
Bookmakers say
17% / 21% / 62%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 82%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 82%; the bookmakers say 83%.
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1433 | 0.87 | 1.33 |
| Liverpool | 1565 | 1.15 | 1.18 |
Liverpool rated 131 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Liverpool's model probability of 60.63% away win significantly outweighs Crystal Palace's 17.81% at home, supported by Liverpool's superior Elo rating (1493.8 vs 1347.3) and better league position (6th vs 18th).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Liverpool's strong model win probability (60.6%) and superior rating (Elo 1493.8 vs 1347.3) favor an away win, while the BTTS model (54.7% Yes) and high OU25 probability (61.1%) support goals.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Liverpool has a significantly higher win probability of 60.63% compared to Crystal Palace's 17.81%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives Liverpool a 60.63% win chance (A=0.6063) vs Palace 17.81%, so Away is the strongest single outcome; BTTS is 54.69% and Over 2.5 is 61.08%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Liverpool has a high win probability (61.66%) and Crystal Palace is struggling with a low attack rating (0.8) and is in 18th position; Liverpool's strong attack (1.161) supports the likelihood of goals being scored.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Liverpool has a higher ELO (1493.8 vs 1347.3) and stronger attack (1.161) compared to Crystal Palace's weak defence (1.446).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.