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England · Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
19th · 17 pts · -10 GD
2:1
Full time
10th · 22 pts · +2 GD
27%
Charlton
27%
Draw
45%
Sheffield Utd
Bookmakers say
27% / 27% / 47%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 73%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 73%; the bookmakers say 73%.
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 1375 | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1466 | 1.04 | 1.33 |
Sheffield Utd rated 91 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProCharlton 2-1 Sheffield Utd. Our model leaned Sheffield Utd to win (45%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:0.5 lost (-10.0u), Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Draw or away lost (0.0u), U lost (0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| No |
| Under |
| 72% |
“Sheffield Utd's model probability of 41.2% away win is strongly supported by form (3 wins in last 6) and ratings (Elo 1457.9 vs Charlton's 1332.3).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Sheffield Utd is favored with a 41.2% win probability and superior form/rating, while the model gives a 59.7% chance for Under 2.5 goals, supported by Charlton's poor attack (0.636 rating) and recent low-scoring form.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 75% |
“Sheffield Utd has a significantly higher win probability of 0.412 compared to Charlton's 0.2916, and Charlton is in very poor form with six consecutive losses.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“Model gives Sheffield Utd the highest 1X2 probability (A 0.412 vs H 0.2916), BTTS is slightly against (N 0.5312) and Under 2.5 is preferred (U 0.5972).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Sheffield Utd a 41.2% chance of winning away from home, with Charlton having a poor home form and Sheffield Utd showing relatively better recent results; Charlton's low position (21st) and Sheffield Utd's higher Elo rating (1457.9 vs 1332.3) support this prediction.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 53.12% chance for no BTTS, supported by Charlton's poor attack (0.636 DC attack) and Sheffield Utd's strong defence (1.283 DC defence).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.