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England · Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 15:00
8th · 24 pts · +6 GD
2:1
Full time
21st · 15 pts · -11 GD
56%
QPR
24%
Draw
20%
Lincoln
Bookmakers say
58% / 23% / 18%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 80%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 80%; the bookmakers say 82%.
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 1425 | 0.96 | 1.42 |
| Lincoln | 1539 | 0.57 | 1.08 |
Lincoln rated 114 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProQPR 2-1 Lincoln. Our model leaned QPR to win (56%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), QPR to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“QPR's model probability of 49.87% for home win is supported by their superior Elo rating (1438.3 vs 1390.6) and better league position (11th vs 19th).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“QPR is favored by the model (49.9% win probability) and has a better table position (11th vs 19th) and form, while BTTS-Yes (53.1%) and Over 2.5 (50.2%) are both marginal calls.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Our model gives QPR a 49.87% chance of winning at home, significantly higher than Lincoln's 24.04%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Model gives QPR 49.87% vs Lincoln 24.04% with draw 26.08%, so Home; BTTS is 53.06% and Over 2.5 is 50.15% (both slim edges).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives QPR a 49.87% chance of winning (H), with both teams having a 53.06% chance of scoring (BTTS:Y) and a 50.15% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25:O), citing probs: {'H': 0.4987, 'Y': 0.5306, 'O': 0.5015}.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Our model gives QPR a 49.87% chance of winning, slightly higher than draw (26.08%) or Lincoln win (24.04%).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.