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France · Ligue 1 · Fri 6 Nov · 19:45
11th · 13 pts · +1 GD
3:1
Full time
14th · 10 pts · -7 GD
44%
Toulouse
25%
Draw
31%
Strasbourg
Bookmakers say
44% / 25% / 31%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%.
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1425 | 0.95 | 1.38 |
| Strasbourg | 1480 | 1.15 | 1.46 |
Strasbourg rated 55 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProToulouse 3-1 Strasbourg. Our model leaned Toulouse to win (44%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), O won (+5.7u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Toulouse (model 0.4683) favored at home with stronger ratings (ELO 1440.2 vs 1455.2 away, but better defence 1.196 vs 1.373).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“The model gives Toulouse a 47% chance to win at home, but Strasbourg's strong attack rating (1.199) and the high BTTS probability (60.3%) make both teams scoring the most confident pick.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Toulouse has a 46.83% chance of winning according to our model, compared to Strasbourg's 28.38%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model: Toulouse 46.83% win vs Strasbourg 28.38% and draw 24.79%; BTTS 60.31% and Over 2.5 goals 60.71%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives 60.71% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25), and the market probability is 60.94%, indicating a good bet.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives BTTS Y a 60.31% chance, supported by Strasbourg's weak defence (dc_defence 1.373) and Toulouse's recent scoring form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.