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France · Ligue 1 · Sat 7 Nov · 18:00
15th · 10 pts · -14 GD
0:1
Full time
2nd · 23 pts · +8 GD
22%
Auxerre
24%
Draw
54%
Paris FC
Bookmakers say
22% / 24% / 55%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 78%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 78%; the bookmakers say 78%. The value angle is A:0.75 at 1.94: we say 68%.
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 1372 | 0.74 | 1.47 |
| Paris FC | 1482 | 0.90 | 1.19 |
Paris FC rated 110 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProAuxerre 0-1 Paris FC. Our model leaned Paris FC to win (54%) and called it right. Picks: A:0.75 won (+9.4u), Both teams to score lost (0.0u), Draw or away won (+0.0u), Paris FC to win won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Paris FC (away) has a 54% model probability vs 22% for Auxerre despite playing away, with a +0.93% edge.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Paris FC is a strong away favorite with a 54% model probability, superior form (4W in last 6), and a much higher table position (3rd vs 15th).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Paris FC has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 0.5402 compared to Auxerre's 0.2222.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 72% |
“The model strongly favours no home win: X2 = 0.778 (home win 0.222), supported by Paris FC's higher elo 1501.9 vs Auxerre 1371.7 and better attack 1.089 vs 0.798.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model predicts 55.88% chance of over 2.5 goals, and the market probability is 56.29%, indicating a relatively safe bet; both teams have shown high-scoring tendencies in their recent matches.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives a 55.05% chance of both teams scoring, supported by Paris FC's strong attack (dc.attack: 1.089) and Auxerre's weak defence (dc.defence: 1.426).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.