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France · Ligue 1 · Sat 7 Nov · 20:05
1st · 24 pts · +12 GD
1:0
Full time
17th · 8 pts · -10 GD
89%
Paris SG
8%
Draw
4%
Troyes
Bookmakers say
90% / 7% / 3%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 96%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 96%; the bookmakers say 97%.
Both teams to score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 86%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG | 1648 | 1.36 | 0.88 |
| Troyes | 1477 | 0.58 | 2.12 |
Paris SG rated 171 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProParis SG 1-0 Troyes. Our model leaned Paris SG to win (89%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score: No won (+0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Paris SG to win won (+1.0u), Paris SG to win won (+1.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Over |
| 78% |
“PSG's model probability of 77.17% home win is overwhelming, backed by their perfect 6-game form (6W), elite Elo rating of 1632.5, and dominant attack rating of 1.529 vs Troyes' weak 0.548.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Over | 75% |
“PSG has a 77.2% win probability, top league position, and strong recent form, while Troyes is 16th with poor form and a weak defensive rating of 1.552.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Over | 85% |
“Paris SG has a very high win probability of 0.7717 according to our model, significantly higher than Troyes' 0.0734.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 90% |
“Model gives Paris SG a 77.17% chance to win (Troyes 7.34%, draw 15.5%) and double chance 1X is 92.66%, so 1X is the safest play.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 80% |
“Paris SG has a high win probability (0.7717) and a strong home record; Troyes has struggled recently with 4 losses in their last 6 games.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Over | 85% |
“Our model gives Paris SG a 77.17% chance of winning, supported by superior form (6 wins in last 6) and a strong attack rating (1.529).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.