“Rennes (home) has a 44.6% model probability vs Lille's 30.1%, with a +0.43% edge.”

“Our model gives Rennes a 45% win probability with a slight edge over the market, and Lille's recent form shows low scoring (three 0-0 or 1-0 results in last six).”

“Rennes has a 44.58% chance of winning according to our model, which is higher than the market's 45.01% for a home win.”

“Model probabilities: Rennes 0.4458, Lille 0.3006, Draw 0.2536, while double chance 12 (no draw) is 0.7465 — the strongest single-market edge.”

“The model gives 59.51% chance of over 2.5 goals, and Rennes has a strong attack rating of 1.326, while Lille's defence is relatively weak at 0.804, supporting the 'over' bet.”

“Our model gives BTTS Yes a 56.21% chance versus market-implied 59.51%, showing slight edge and strong likelihood.”