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France · Ligue 1 · Sun 8 Nov · 16:15
12th · 12 pts · +4 GD
VS
Kick-off
3rd · 20 pts · +12 GD
34%
Brest
27%
Draw
39%
Lyon
Bookmakers say
34% / 27% / 39%
Where we differ most
A 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 73%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 73%; the bookmakers say 73%.
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | 1401 | 0.85 | 1.51 |
| Lyon | 1535 | 1.07 | 1.03 |
Lyon rated 134 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 52% |
“Lyon (Elo 1534.4, 2nd place) has a slight edge over Brest (Elo 1410.9, 12th place) with model probability 0.3924 vs market 0.3909, giving minimal but positive edge.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Lyon has a higher Elo rating (1534 vs 1411) and our model gives them a 39.2% win probability, slightly higher than Brest's 33.9%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Lyon has a significantly higher Elo rating of 1534.4 compared to Brest's 1410.9, indicating a stronger team.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 72% |
“Model: Lyon (A) 39.24% vs Brest (H) 33.91% vs Draw 26.84%; BTTS 53.41% and Over 2.5 goals 50.87%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives 0.5087 probability for over 2.5 goals and 0.5341 for both teams to score, indicating a likely open game; Lyon's attack rating is 1.122, suggesting they are likely to score.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Under | 55% |
“The model gives BTTS Y a 53.41% chance versus the market at 48.96%, showing a positive edge.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.