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France · Ligue 2 · Fri 6 Nov · 19:00
6th · 18 pts · +2 GD
1:0
Full time
8th · 17 pts · -3 GD
36%
Dijon
27%
Draw
38%
Red Star
Bookmakers say
35% / 27% / 38%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 73%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 73%; the bookmakers say 73%. The value angle is H:0 at 1.91: we say 48%.
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Consensus
1X2
Away 50%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 1449 | 1.11 | 1.43 |
| Red Star | 1498 | 1.05 | 1.10 |
Red Star rated 49 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProDijon 1-0 Red Star. Our model leaned Red Star to win (38%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O lost (0.0u), H:0 won (+9.1u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 52% |
“Dijon (home) has stronger attacking ratings (1.427 vs 1.053) and Red Star's defence is vulnerable (1.663 rating).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 55% |
“The model gives BTTS a 60% probability, the highest clear edge among the main markets, and both teams have strong attacking ratings (Dijon 1.427, Red Star 1.053) but poor recent defensive form.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Dijon has a strong attack rating of 1.427 and Red Star has a defence rating of 1.239, suggesting both teams are likely to score.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Model gives away 36.85% vs home 36.80% (draw 26.35%), so a slight away lean; double-chance 12 is 73.65% (model) making it the strongest single play.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Draw | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives over 2.5 goals a 57.01% probability, and both teams have strong attack and defence ratings relative to the league average (Dijon: attack=1.427, defence=1.663; Red Star: attack=1.053, defence=1.239), indicating a potentially high-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model gives a 60.05% chance of both teams scoring, supported by Dijon's high attacking strength (1.427) and Red Star's weak defence (1.239).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.