“Model gives Dunkerque 34.9% win probability vs Guingamp's 39.1%, but home advantage and stronger defensive rating (1.359 vs 1.345) slightly favor the host.”

“The model gives Guingamp a 39.6% win probability, the highest among the three outcomes, and they have a slight edge in table position and recent form.”

“Guingamp has a higher model probability of winning at 0.3907 compared to Dunkerque's 0.3489.”

“Model gives Guingamp 39.07% vs Dunkerque 34.89% (draw 26.04%), BTTS Y 56.39% and Over 2.5 59.04%.”

“The model predicts 0.5904 probability for over 2.5 goals, and the market probability is 0.5954; both teams have poor defence ratings (1.329 and 1.378).”

“The model gives a 59.04% chance of over 2.5 goals, closely aligned with the market's 59.54%, but with a slight edge.”