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France · Ligue 2 · Fri 6 Nov · 19:00
3rd · 24 pts · +9 GD
2:3
Full time
7th · 17 pts · +1 GD
50%
Montpellier
26%
Draw
25%
Metz
Bookmakers say
50% / 26% / 25%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 76%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 76%; the bookmakers say 75%.
Both teams to score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 62%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1510 | 0.85 | 0.80 |
| Metz | 1310 | 1.07 | 0.94 |
Montpellier rated 200 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProMontpellier 2-3 Metz. Our model leaned Montpellier to win (50%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or draw lost (0.0u), O won (+0.0u), Montpellier to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Montpellier's superior form (4W-1D in last 6) and table position (2nd, 24pts vs Metz 10th, 14pts) align with our model's 47.5% home win probability.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 62% |
“Montpellier is favored with a 47.5% win probability and has strong recent form (5W, 1D in last 6), while Metz's defense is weak (defence rating 1.486).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Montpellier has a strong home advantage with a 47.52% model probability for a home win, significantly higher than Metz's 25.17% away win probability.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 75% |
“Model gives Montpellier a 47.5% chance to win and the 1X double-chance probability is 74.84%; Montpellier sit 2nd with 24 pts vs Metz 10th with 14 pts.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 70% |
“Model gives home win probability of 0.4752, with Montpellier having a strong home form and higher Elo rating (1552.3 vs 1437.2); Over 2.5 goals has a model probability of 0.5394.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“Our model gives a 58.05% chance for under 2.5 goals and 58.05% chance for no BTTS, aligning with Montpellier's strong defense (defence factor 0.73) and Metz's weak away form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.