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France · Ligue 2 · Sat 7 Nov · 19:00
5th · 20 pts · +3 GD
0:2
Full time
14th · 12 pts · -4 GD
32%
Pau FC
28%
Draw
40%
Nantes
Bookmakers say
31% / 28% / 41%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 72%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 72%; the bookmakers say 72%. The value angle is H:0.25 at 1.75: we say 57%.
Both teams to score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Consensus
1X2
Away 88%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pau FC | 1405 | 1.00 | 1.59 |
| Nantes | 1333 | 0.88 | 1.73 |
Pau FC rated 72 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProPau FC 0-2 Nantes. Our model leaned Nantes to win (40%) and called it right. Picks: H:0.25 lost (-10.0u), Both teams to score lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Nantes has a 40.76% win probability with a +0.75% edge over market odds (41.51%), and Pau's recent form (1W-2D-3L) contrasts sharply with Nantes' steadier record.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Under | 62% |
“Nantes is the stronger side by Elo (1397 vs 1437) and our model gives them a 41% win probability, the highest among the three outcomes, while Pau's recent form is good but the underlying ratings favor the away team.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Nantes has a 40.76% chance of winning according to our model, compared to Pau FC's 31.2%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Under | 72% |
“Model gives away the narrow lead (A 0.4076 vs H 0.312, D 0.2804) but forecasts a decisive result overall (DC '12' = 0.7199); BTTS is slightly likely (Y 0.5737).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives 57.37% chance for BTTS, and Pau FC has a strong attack rating of 1.111, while Nantes has a weak defence rating of 1.603, supporting the likelihood of both teams scoring.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 68% |
“Pau FC has superior form (6 wins in last 6) and a higher attack rating (1.111 vs 0.828), giving them a 31.2% model chance to win versus Nantes' 40.76%.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.