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Italy · Serie A · Fri 6 Nov · 19:45
19th · 6 pts · -13 GD
2:1
Full time
20th · 5 pts · -13 GD
39%
Venezia
28%
Draw
33%
Udinese
Bookmakers say
42% / 28% / 30%
Where we differ most
A +3%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 72%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 72%; the bookmakers say 72%.
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 75%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 1513 | 0.70 | 2.47 |
| Udinese | 1423 | 1.07 | 1.20 |
Venezia rated 90 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProVenezia 2-1 Udinese. Our model leaned Venezia to win (39%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U lost (-0.6u), Draw or away lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Venezia has a 40.32% model probability vs Udinese's 32.83%, with a +2.68% edge favoring home.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“Model gives Venezia a 40.3% win probability, higher than Udinese's 32.8%, and both teams have poor form and weak attack ratings (0.503 vs 0.907), favoring BTTS No at 54.3% and Under 2.5 at 49.5%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Venezia has a 40.32% chance of winning according to our model, which is higher than the market's 30.15%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 73% |
“The model gives Venezia 40.32% vs Udinese 32.83% (1X2), BTTS No 54.33% and Over 2.5 a marginal 50.5%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives Venezia a 40.3% chance of winning (probs.model.H), and they have a slight edge over the market odds (edge.H = -0.0297); Venezia are also more likely to win than Udinese according to the model's AH probabilities.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“The model shows a 4.2% edge on under 2.5 goals (model: 49.5%, market: 45.3%) and predicts both teams to score at only 45.67% likelihood.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.