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Italy · Serie A · Sat 7 Nov · 14:00
11th · 14 pts · -2 GD
1:1
Full time
14th · 10 pts · -10 GD
52%
Torino
26%
Draw
23%
Lecce
Bookmakers say
54% / 26% / 21%
Where we differ most
A 2%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 77%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 77%; the bookmakers say 79%.
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 1392 | 1.00 | 1.46 |
| Lecce | 1360 | 0.65 | 1.27 |
Torino rated 33 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProTorino 1-1 Lecce. Our model leaned Torino to win (52%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or draw won (+0.0u), Torino to win lost (0.0u), U won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Torino's model probability of 51.82% for home win has a +1.93% edge over market (53.75%), and they hold a 59-point Elo advantage (1403 vs 1345).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 58% |
“Our model gives Torino a 51.8% chance to win, and the under 2.5 goals probability is 52.2%, slightly higher than the market.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Torino has a significantly higher win probability of 0.5182 compared to Lecce's 0.2257.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“Model gives Torino a 51.82% win (draw 25.61%, Lecce 22.57%) and double-chance 1X is 77.46%, making 1X the strongest edge; BTTS is model-N 52.51% and OU2.5 is model-U 52.24%, so BTTS N and U are supported as well.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Torino has a 77.5% chance of not losing (1X) according to the model's DC probabilities, and Lecce has been struggling with 5 losses in their last 6 games; Torino's home form is relatively better with 2 wins in their last 3 home games.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“Our model gives a 52.24% chance of under 2.5 goals, slightly above the market's 50.62%.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.