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Italy · Serie A · Sat 7 Nov · 17:00
16th · 8 pts · -8 GD
1:2
Full time
8th · 17 pts · +2 GD
22%
Parma
27%
Draw
50%
Bologna
Bookmakers say
21% / 27% / 53%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 78%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 78%; the bookmakers say 79%. The value angle is A:0.5 at 1.79: we say 74%.
Both teams to score
37%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 1374 | 0.61 | 1.09 |
| Bologna | 1426 | 1.02 | 1.10 |
Bologna rated 52 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProParma 1-2 Bologna. Our model leaned Bologna to win (50%) and called it right. Picks: A:0.5 won (+7.9u), Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Draw or away won (+0.0u), Bologna to win won (+0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| No |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Bologna is significantly stronger (Elo 1464 vs Parma's 1373) and in superior form (4W-1L vs Parma's 2W-3L), with our model giving them 50.3% win probability versus the market's 52.6%.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Bologna a 50.3% win probability with a strong edge over the market, and their recent form (four wins in six) supports them.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 75% |
“Bologna has a significantly higher probability of winning at 0.5028 compared to Parma's 0.2222.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 78% |
“The model gives Bologna the lead (A 50.28% vs Parma H 22.22%) and the X2 double chance is 77.81%, the strongest single probability.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“The model's probability for under 2.5 goals is 0.5962, and Parma's defensive rating is 1.192, indicating a strong defence; Bologna's form has been inconsistent, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 6 games.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 78% |
“Our model gives a 59.62% chance of under 2.5 goals, with a positive edge of +0.0378 against the market.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.