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Italy · Serie A · Sat 7 Nov · 19:45
2nd · 27 pts · +21 GD
3:0
Full time
17th · 8 pts · -13 GD
74%
Roma
15%
Draw
11%
Sassuolo
Bookmakers say
76% / 15% / 10%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 89%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 89%; the bookmakers say 90%.
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 1595 | 1.51 | 0.73 |
| Sassuolo | 1430 | 1.09 | 1.25 |
Roma rated 165 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProRoma 3-0 Sassuolo. Our model leaned Roma to win (74%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score lost (0.0u), Roma to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), U lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Roma's model probability of 73.84% home win is significantly stronger than Sassuolo's 10.79%, supported by Roma's 3rd place position (24pts) vs Sassuolo's 17th (8pts) and superior Elo rating (1619 vs 1373).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Roma are strong favorites with a 73.8% model win probability and hold a significant edge in form and table position, while Sassuolo's poor defensive rating (1.592) suggests they will concede.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Roma has a strong home win probability of 0.7384 according to our model, significantly higher than Sassuolo's away win probability of 0.1079.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Model gives Roma a 73.84% win probability (H=0.7384) and double-chance 1X is 89.22%, so 1X is the strongest play; model also shows BTTS Y 53.69% and OU2.5 O 69.05%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 80% |
“Roma has a high probability of winning (0.7384) and Sassuolo has been struggling with 4 losses in their last 6 games.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Under | 75% |
“Roma have a strong model probability to win (73.8%) and are in far better form, while Sassuolo have poor defensive ratings (defence 1.592 DC factor).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.