“Model gives Cesena 43.3% win probability with positive edge of -2.5% vs market (43.8%), while OU2.5 shows 55.9% over with +1.6% edge at 1.712 odds.”

“Cesena is favored at home (model 43.3% vs.”

“Cesena has a 43.32% chance of winning according to the model, compared to Catanzaro's 30.06%.”

“Model gives Cesena the highest single-outcome chance (H 0.4332 vs A 0.3006) and BTTS is likely (Y 0.629); the strongest signal is double-chance 12 at 0.7342 which reduces draw risk.”

“The model predicts 55.87% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25: O=0.5587), and both teams have relatively weak defences (Cesena: defence=1.311, Catanzaro: defence=1.335), supporting the over 2.5 goals prediction.”

“The model gives a 62.9% chance of both teams scoring, supported by Catanzaro's weak defence (dc_defence 1.432) and Cesena's consistent form in draws.”