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Italy · Serie B · Sat 7 Nov · 18:30
7th · 16 pts · +4 GD
1:1
Full time
6th · 16 pts · +5 GD
50%
Benevento
28%
Draw
23%
Avellino
Bookmakers say
51% / 26% / 23%
Where we differ most
D 2%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 77%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 77%; the bookmakers say 77%.
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Consensus
1X2
Home 88%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 1447 | 1.03 | 0.73 |
| Avellino | 1453 | 0.89 | 1.17 |
Avellino rated 7 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProBenevento 1-1 Avellino. Our model leaned Benevento to win (50%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Both teams to score: No lost (0.0u), Home or draw won (+0.0u), U won (+0.0u), Draw or away won (+9.1u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Model forecasts Under 2.5 at 59.6% vs market 49.4%, giving a +1.7% edge.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Draw | No | Under | 62% |
“Our model gives Under 2.5 goals a 59.6% probability with a +10.2% edge over the market, and both teams have similar defensive ratings (Benevento 0.909, Avellino 1.14) favoring a low-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Our model predicts Under 2.5 goals with a 59.58% probability, which is significantly higher than the market's 49.41%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Model probabilities favor Benevento (46.36%) over Avellino (22.98%) with a draw at 30.66%, and the double-chance 1X is strongest at 77.02%; pick DC 1X.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“The model predicts under 2.5 goals with a probability of 0.5958, and home win with a probability of 0.4636; both teams to score 'No' has a probability of 0.5343.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 59.58% chance of under 2.5 goals with a positive edge of +0.1017 against the market, and both teams have moderate attack ratings (Benevento 0.975, Avellino 0.905) suggesting low-scoring trends.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.