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Italy · Serie B · Sun 8 Nov · 18:30
17th · 9 pts · -7 GD
VS
Kick-off
13th · 12 pts · -1 GD
36%
Vicenza
29%
Draw
35%
Cremonese
Bookmakers say
33% / 28% / 39%
Where we differ most
H +3%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 71%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 71%; the bookmakers say 72%. The value angle is Home win or draw (1X): we say 65% against the market's 61%.
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Consensus
1X2
Home 62%
BTTS
Yes 71%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza | 1386 | 1.03 | 1.62 |
| Cremonese | 1332 | 0.61 | 1.18 |
Vicenza rated 54 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Vicenza has a slight model edge (35.28% vs 39.17% market for home win) and stronger Elo rating (1402.8 vs 1434.6, though Cremonese's is inflated).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 53% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 a 53.1% probability, the highest edge among clear outcomes, and Vicenza's strong defensive rating (1.579) supports a low-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Vicenza a 35.28% chance of winning, slightly higher than Cremonese's 35.59% for an away win, despite Cremonese having a higher Elo rating (1434.6 vs 1402.8).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Under | 64% |
“The model marginally favours Cremonese (A 0.3559 vs H 0.3528) and Cremonese have higher ELO (1434.6 vs 1402.8) and better recent form.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Under | Yes | Under | 60% |
“The model's probability for under 2.5 goals is 0.5309, slightly higher than over 2.5 goals at 0.4691; both teams to score has a probability of 0.5172, indicating a close match.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“The model gives a 53.09% chance of under 2.5 goals, slightly above the market's 51.97%, creating a small positive edge.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.