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Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri 6 Nov · 19:00
18th · 3 pts · -29 GD
1:1
Full time
12th · 12 pts · -11 GD
29%
Willem II
25%
Draw
46%
Zwolle
Bookmakers say
29% / 25% / 46%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%. The value angle is A:0.5 at 2.03: we say 68%.
Both teams to score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1357 | 0.59 | 2.29 |
| Zwolle | 1314 | 0.83 | 1.86 |
Willem II rated 42 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProWillem II 1-1 Zwolle. Our model leaned Zwolle to win (46%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:0.5 won (+10.3u), Both teams to score won (+0.0u), Home or away lost (0.0u), O lost (0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Zwolle (41.57% win probability, ELO 1352.9, 11 pts) are significantly stronger than Willem II (33.5% win probability, ELO 1317.6, 2 pts in 18th place).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 62% |
“The model gives Zwolle (A) a 41.6% win probability, the highest among the three outcomes, and their form is better with recent wins.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Zwolle has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 41.57% compared to Willem II's 33.5%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Zwolle (away) 41.57% vs Willem II 33.50% and draw 24.93%, and the double-chance 12 (no draw) probability is 75.07%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model's probability for over 2.5 goals is 0.6205, and the bookmakers' margin-adjusted odds imply a probability of 0.623, indicating a relatively safe bet; both teams have poor defence ratings (Willem II: 2.897, Zwolle: 1.824), suggesting a potential for goals.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives BTTS Y a 61.89% chance, well above the bookmakers' implied 62.3%, and both teams have shown vulnerability in defense.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.