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Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat 7 Nov · 20:00
15th · 11 pts · -13 GD
0:1
Full time
8th · 17 pts · -3 GD
35%
Excelsior
25%
Draw
40%
Go Ahead Eagles
Bookmakers say
35% / 25% / 41%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%. The value angle is A:0.25 at 2.00: we say 52%.
Both teams to score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 1429 | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 1435 | 1.17 | 1.46 |
Go Ahead Eagles rated 6 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProExcelsior 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles. Our model leaned Go Ahead Eagles to win (40%) and called it right. Picks: A:0.25 won (+10.0u), Both teams to score lost (0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O lost (0.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Go Ahead Eagles (away) has a 40.6% win probability vs Excelsior's 34.5%, with our model showing a 0.05% edge on the away win.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model gives BTTS a 64.8% probability, the highest clear edge among the main markets, and both teams have poor defensive ratings (1.705 and 1.723) and recent high-scoring form.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Go Ahead Eagles have a 40.56% chance of winning according to the model, compared to Excelsior's 34.56%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 72% |
“The model gives Go Ahead Eagles 40.56% vs Excelsior 34.56% (A is the top 1X2 pick), BTTS is 64.82% and Over 2.5 is 63.63%; the strongest edge is Double Chance 12 at 75.12% so DC 12 is the clearest play.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model predicts 63.63% chance of over 2.5 goals (OU25), aligning with the market probability of 63.73%; both teams have poor defence ratings (1.705 and 1.723), supporting the 'Y' for BTTS.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives BTTS Y a 64.82% chance, higher than any edge in 1X2 or OU25.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.