Loading match...
Join us on Telegram
Bet smarter. Join our free Weekend Tipsletter
Join freeBet smarter. Join our free Weekend Tipsletter
Join freeLoading match...
Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri 6 Nov · 20:45
11th · 14 pts · +1 GD
1:0
Full time
5th · 24 pts · +6 GD
42%
Famalicao
28%
Draw
30%
Arouca
Bookmakers say
42% / 28% / 30%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 72%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 72%; the bookmakers say 72%.
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao | 1466 | 0.99 | 0.75 |
| Arouca | 1459 | 1.14 | 1.30 |
Famalicao rated 7 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProFamalicao 1-0 Arouca. Our model leaned Famalicao to win (42%) and called it right. Picks: Both teams to score: No won (+0.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), U won (+0.0u), Famalicao to win won (+10.4u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Famalicao (46.29% model) has a modest edge over Arouca (26.64%) with superior form (3 wins in last 6 vs mixed results) and stronger ratings (ELO 1474 vs 1466).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a 52.6% probability, and Arouca's strong defence (1.299 rating) and Famalicao's low attack (0.93) suggest a tight game.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Famalicao has a 46.29% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than Arouca's 26.64%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 73% |
“Model gives home win 46.29% vs away 26.64% and draw 27.07%, with double-chance 1X at 73.36%, so 1X is the strongest single play.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Home team has a 46.29% chance of winning (model probability), and the double chance market '1X' has a 73.36% probability, making it a safer bet; the model's probabilities for 1X2 are 46.29% (H), 27.07% (D), and 26.64% (A).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a 52.56% chance of under 2.5 goals, slightly above the market's 52.17%, with a small positive edge.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.